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MPC external member Ram Singh says repo hike not likely yet

MPC external member Ram Singh says repo hike not likely yet

MPC external member Ram Singh signaled that a repo rate hike is not on the cards for now, tying the decision to whether inflation triggers second-round effects. He expects the West Asia conflict to ease, which could moderate price pressures, while saying forex reserves remain adequate and open market operations will support liquidity. Growth, he adds, stays resilient despite supply risks.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
India bonds plunge as failed US Iran talks spark oil shock and risk off mood

India bonds plunge as failed US Iran talks spark oil shock and risk off mood

Indian government bonds fell sharply Monday after failed US-Iran peace talks pushed oil prices higher, triggering a global risk-off mood. The move weighed on the rupee and equities like the Nifty 50, with traders flagging renewed inflation and growth concerns. Market sentiment reversed after Friday’s bond purchases that assumed a breakthrough, and investors are now watching March inflation data.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026

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Gold inches toward fourth straight weekly gain on US Iran peace deal hopes

Gold inches toward fourth straight weekly gain on US Iran peace deal hopes

Gold prices stayed steady and are poised for a fourth weekly gain as hopes for a US-Iran peace deal reduce worries about inflation and interest rates. Optimism also grew after a ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel, with potential US-Iran talks over the weekend. Even with stable US unemployment claims, employers remain cautious amid the ongoing conflict.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
Haryana raises minimum wages 35 percent as unrest grows and auto sector braces for higher costs

Haryana raises minimum wages 35 percent as unrest grows and auto sector braces for higher costs

Haryana has increased minimum wages by 35% for unskilled workers following factory protests and work boycotts driven by higher living costs, surging food prices, and disrupted gas supplies. The government says the move will ease pressure on labourers, but industry expects it to raise operating costs for India’s auto sector.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
Ajay Seth says India will curb inflation and protect growth as global pressures mount

Ajay Seth says India will curb inflation and protect growth as global pressures mount

Department of Economic Affairs Secretary Ajay Seth said monetary and fiscal authorities are taking steps to moderate inflation despite domestic and global headwinds. He stressed that policy action is being calibrated to control price pressures while keeping growth momentum intact. Seth framed the approach as “whatever it takes,” signaling continued coordination to balance inflation containment with economic expansion.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
Gulf war drives raw material inflation forcing FMCG to move to daily pricing

Gulf war drives raw material inflation forcing FMCG to move to daily pricing

FMCG firms say the Gulf war has sparked sharp, widespread jumps in raw material costs. To respond, companies are tightening budgets and moving to daily price surveillance, signaling frequent price changes across categories. Analysts warn this could strain the fragile consumer spending recovery that was boosted by recent tax reductions.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026

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RBI warns of short term jitters and flags FDI outflows while touting strong fundamentals

RBI warns of short term jitters and flags FDI outflows while touting strong fundamentals

RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra told financial leaders in New York that the central bank is closely monitoring short-term economic fluctuations, including FDI outflows. He outlined reforms to strengthen foreign investment and deepen market integration, while pointing to India’s low inflation and strong foreign exchange reserves as proof of resilient fundamentals.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
Japan bond yields jump as BOJ hawkish signals and war risks stoke inflation fears

Japan bond yields jump as BOJ hawkish signals and war risks stoke inflation fears

Japanese government bond yields rose across the curve as hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan and growing inflation concerns tied to the Middle East war pushed investors to rethink the path of future rate hikes. The move reflects a rapid shift in market expectations, with yields climbing broadly rather than in just one maturity segment.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
RBI is easing but India long term rates keep climbing — what’s driving the break from policy

RBI is easing but India long term rates keep climbing — what’s driving the break from policy

Even as the RBI has cut the repo rate by 125 basis points in the past year, India’s long-term interest rates have continued rising for months. The gap between policy easing and market pricing is drawing attention, hinting that expectations around inflation, growth risks, and fiscal dynamics may be outweighing the central bank’s near-term stance.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
Bank mark to market losses loom as 10 year govt bond yields hit 12 month high

Bank mark to market losses loom as 10 year govt bond yields hit 12 month high

Rising sovereign bond yields are likely to trigger mark to market losses for Indian banks in the March quarter. Even as the RBI conducted open market operation purchases, 10-year government bond yields climbed to a 12-month high, driven by geopolitical risks and persistent inflation worries, pressuring banks’ bond portfolios.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026

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US recession odds triple as Trump tariffs bite threatens global prosperity Jeffrey Frankel warns

US recession odds triple as Trump tariffs bite threatens global prosperity Jeffrey Frankel warns

Harvard economist Jeffrey Frankel says the US faces recession odds about three times the usual level amid Trump’s tariff push. He argues tariffs could mean slower growth alongside higher prices, weaken capital formation, and add uncertainty around the dollar. Frankel also warns that dismantling post-war trade rules could ripple outward, even if some voters still back the plan.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
Higher bond yields may stick around as sticky inflation and deficits reshape markets

Higher bond yields may stick around as sticky inflation and deficits reshape markets

Long-term bond yields are moving higher even after Fed rate cuts, as sticky inflation persists and U.S. deficits swell. Investors are demanding a bigger term premium, nudging markets toward a “higher-for-longer” outlook. With 10-year yields testing key resistance, the repricing could hit mortgages, corporate borrowing, equity valuations, and currency trends worldwide.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
India 10-year bond yield set for biggest quarterly jump in four years on oil and inflation fears

India 10-year bond yield set for biggest quarterly jump in four years on oil and inflation fears

India’s benchmark 10-year bond yield is expected to record its largest quarterly rise in four years. Escalating oil prices linked to the Middle East conflict are fanning inflation worries, which could pressure government borrowing costs. Banks may also see margins under strain as markets prepare for a tougher new fiscal year with higher yield expectations.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
India bonds slide as oil breaches 100 amid US Iran standoff shocks inflation outlook

India bonds slide as oil breaches 100 amid US Iran standoff shocks inflation outlook

Indian government bonds fell on Thursday as traders priced in rising economic risk after oil jumped past $100 a barrel amid the US-Iran standoff. Disrupted Middle East shipping is expected to raise inflation pressure and cloud India’s growth outlook. The rupee weakened and stock markets dipped, reinforcing a risk-off mood across markets.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026

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RBI signals prolonged pause as core inflation stays benign despite higher estimates

RBI signals prolonged pause as core inflation stays benign despite higher estimates

Even with RBI inflation estimates looking higher, the central message is that rates may stay put. Benign core inflation, a rebound toward double-digit nominal GDP in FY27, and incentives for private capacity building suggest rate action is unlikely to resume soon. The stance points toward a prolonged pause rather than an immediate hike cycle, per the latest analysis.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
Rupee at risk of slipping past 100 as oil spikes on Iran fears

Rupee at risk of slipping past 100 as oil spikes on Iran fears

India’s rupee could slide to fresh record lows, potentially crossing 100 per dollar, if tensions around the Iran war escalate. Analysts warn surging oil prices would deepen inflation pressures and widen the current-account deficit. While central bank steps may cushion the move, they’re seen as temporary—market pricing suggests the rupee has more downside ahead.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
G Sec yields jump near two-year highs as inflation fears and oversupply loom

G Sec yields jump near two-year highs as inflation fears and oversupply loom

Indian 10-year G Sec yields climbed to a near two-year high, ending FY25 at 7.03% even after a policy rate cut. Analysts point to bond oversupply and geopolitical risks tied to West Asia as key drivers. With conflict continuing and supply pressures building, yields could keep an upward bias through FY27, raising inflation concerns.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
RBI warns West Asia conflict could swing inflation and growth — but holds fire for now

RBI warns West Asia conflict could swing inflation and growth — but holds fire for now

RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee said a longer West Asia conflict could meaningfully affect India’s growth and inflation, even as the economy stays resilient. Instead of changing policy, it chose a wait-and-watch approach, citing heightened geopolitical uncertainty and a possible El Nino-driven inflation risk.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026

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10 year yield crosses 7 percent as banks brace for larger treasury MTM losses

10 year yield crosses 7 percent as banks brace for larger treasury MTM losses

India’s bond markets are under pressure after the 10-year yield unexpectedly surged above 7 percent, triggering mark to market losses for banks. The move is spilling into rupee dynamics and heightening trader caution around prolonged conflict and sticky inflation. With government security auctions ahead, markets are pricing in more yield pressure as banks prepare for upcoming supply next fiscal year.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
India 10 year bond yield tumbles most in four years as oil slides and RBI stays steady

India 10 year bond yield tumbles most in four years as oil slides and RBI stays steady

Indian government bonds surged Wednesday, with the 10-year benchmark yield recording its sharpest drop in four years. Investors benefited as oil prices fell after a two-week U.S.-Iran truce, reducing inflation pressure. The rally continued despite the RBI holding its policy rate unchanged, reinforcing confidence in the current monetary stance.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
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