India is set to fast-track flex-fuel vehicles that can run on higher ethanol blends, aiming to curb dependence on imported oil. The push comes as crude markets stay jittery due to geopolitical shocks, including conflicts affecting Middle East energy supplies. If adoption accelerates, ethanol could become a buffer against oil price spikes and import volatility.
India is exploring ethanol blending in petrol beyond the current 20% benchmark and is also pushing flex-fuel vehicles to enable higher biofuel use. The government is holding discussions with industry stakeholders as it plans for a broader shift in transport fuel. The goal: reduce dependence on imported oil while strengthening domestic biofuel production and consumption.
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The Reserve Bank of India has launched a special foreign exchange window to provide dollars to state-run refiners, a step designed to ease rupee pressure. The supply is expected to be routed through state-run lenders, reducing the heavy daily dollar demand tied to oil imports. Analysts say the move could support rupee appreciation in the near term.
The Indian rupee strengthened on Friday after a Reuters report said the RBI took a step to curb state-run oil companies’ dollar demand. That action built on earlier measures which have already narrowed the rupee’s underperformance versus other Asian currencies over the past fortnight. Traders expect reduced FX pressure from these demand controls to support the currency in the near term.
Market veteran Pashupati Advani says India’s rally may be fragile, pointing to unresolved risks like disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz that could affect oil and LNG imports. He also flags a near-term LPG crunch and growing pressure on IT jobs, citing visa curbs, AI disruption, and stagnant hiring—calling it a potential earnings shock.
The Indian rupee slid past 95 per dollar, recording its steepest annual fall in 14 years. After a brief early recovery, strong dollar demand from oil companies and importers drove the currency to fresh lows, while RBI intervention helped it end at about 94. The pressure has been especially heavy over the past month.
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ONGC Videsh was created to secure overseas oil assets and reduce India’s reliance on imports. But after six decades, energy self-reliance still feels out of reach. The story highlights how ambitious global sourcing plans can be undermined by evolving markets, shifting strategy, and persistent demand for external supply.
Iran’s new USD1 war toll per barrel passing through the Strait of Hormuz could push India’s annual oil import bill up by nearly INR10,000 crore. Though it breaches transit passage rights, India still has room to act—using diplomatic and legal levers—to protect energy supplies and contain costs.
Nitin Gadkari says India should target 100 percent ethanol blending soon to improve energy self-reliance as global oil markets stay uncertain. With India currently importing about 87 percent of its oil, the push will accelerate alternative and biofuel production. Green hydrogen is also flagged as a future fuel option.
India’s current account deficit is set to widen as expensive oil imports strain foreign exchange inflows, with the Iran conflict adding further pressure. Economists warn RBI steps may only deliver short-lived support to the rupee. If the oil cost shock persists, the deficit could expand enough to push India into a balance of payments shortfall for a second straight year.
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